So I was bored today and took all the 2012 placers from A, AA, AAA and plugged them into the most current 6 classification model. With a few exceptions; its quite competitive and if we do indeed go 4 from each conference into a 16 man region to an 8 man state it looks to be perfect.
I havn't worked back from the conference level (which I will get to in the future)but I basically took all the placers and plugged them into the current 6a model and here is what I came up with:
6A- By far the best balance of wrestling power. They revised it since I last saw it and couldn't have done a finer job.
6A South- Arguably the toughest region in the state. 32 AAA placers.
6A North- 30 AAA placers.
5A-Unfortunately this is the model that proves why this system won't work. There is not a more lopsided classification in the whole state then 5A.
5A South- Stacked. Very tough. Will have kids not getting out of the conference that could qualify for state out of 5A North. 27 AAA placers.
5A North- As of right now this is one weak region as a whole. Large schools-YES, but not known for wrestling. 12 AAA placers and 1 AA placer.
4A-Quite possibly tougher than 5A but not tougher then 3A.(I'll get to 3A in a minute).
4A South- This region has been saturated with AAA teams that are known to have 1 or 2 buzzsaws plus the addition of a pretty solid "Bay Rivers" contingent. Expect lots of strong placers out of this region but always missing out on the team titles. 7 AAA placers and 11 AA placers.
4A North- Carroll County and James Wood High schools are separated by 250 miles but nonetheless both are considered "North". Anyway, some very good wrestling teams here with strong tradition. 32 AA placers.
3A- Holy COW!!! If you are a Virginia wrestling fan this is the state tournament you want to watch. 6A will have the best wrestlers but 3A is going to be BY FAR the most exciting!
3A East- This is the dream alignment. Its got the VA Challenge A/AA vs AAA feel to it. 3 AAA placers, 21 AA placers, and 12 A placers. Very neat region.
3A West- Probably the 2nd toughest region in the entire state. Definately the most competitive to get out of. This region has the heart beat of the AA powers. 45 AA Placer, 2 A placers.
2A/1A- If combined and made into a 16 man bracket then you end up with virtually no change; less Manassas Park of Course. If there ends up with a 1a and a 2a tournament then its like cutting the single A tournament in half equally.
2A East- 30 A placers.
2A West- 2 AA placers and 28 A placers.
1A East- 16 A placers.
1A West- 23 A Placers.Posted 11 months ago # -
I'll miss Man Park in AA, good luck in 3A.Posted 11 months ago # -
I appreciate your analysis, thanks for taking the time to do it.
For me the over-riding thought here is that ANY system that results in 7 state champions in each weight (6 public, 1 private) is seriously flawed and can not be justified. It was bad enough that there were 4 state champions previously. In my opinion it cheapens and waters down the value of what it means to be a state champion in Virginia...
I think there should be one state champ per weight but I am admittedly biased toward the system in NJ. School size is accommodated by having team champions in each school size / type (4 public school team champs and I think 3 private school team champs).
I am not looking forward to the new system...Posted 10 months ago # -
You are right about the 'watered down' effect, I guess I just don't understand the purpose of moving in this direction. I think a 3 class system is reasonable (4 with the private schools) to provide competitive parity. Seven divisions is just too many and too confusing.Some people have suggested it may increase participation, I hope so.Posted 10 months ago # -
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